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Case Study Governance

When Decentralization Fails: Fiscal Governance and Health Outcomes

N Novantum Policy Lab APR 10, 2026 6 Min Read
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Executive Summary

Argues that fiscal decentralization in low-governance contexts can increase infant mortality unless a specific governance threshold is reached.

Key Analysis

Decentralization is often seen as a panacea, but in contexts with poor governance quality, it can actually lead to worse health outcomes. Our research identifies a specific governance threshold—the 40th percentile—that must be reached before devolution improves service delivery in fragile settings.

Research Briefing Note

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Access the full technical documentation and governance protocols detailed in this report.

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